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Forecast

When will it happen? We give a range, not a single date. The optimistic end is the official EU and government target; the rest is how far past enlargements slipped from their first target. Modeled estimates, not facts.

Data verified as of 15 Jun 2026

Türkiye’s negotiations have been at a standstill since 2018 — no chapter has opened or closed, and the EU has stated no new chapters can be considered. With the process frozen, a date estimate would be meaningless.